PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Rafael López Aliaga 75%+2.3ptLeader of 23 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
82 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.5K
Liquidity
$408.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
44
7d Change
-18.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 3:56 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).