When will Katie Porter drop out of the California gubernatorial race?

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This market resolved: No (99%)

Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, 3:34 PM

Provider-verified resolution

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Current implied probability

Market quality

18 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$131.5

Open interest

$87.5

Low open interest

Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Market data

Updated 142 days ago

Stale

Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJun 2, 26, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.

If Katie Porter drops out of 2026 California gubernatorial election before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running.
Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race.
Death or incapacitation resolves to No, not Yes.
Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out.
Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race.

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