When will Katie Porter drop out of the California gubernatorial race?
2.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection
KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, 3:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
18 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$131.5
Liquidity
$87.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 91 days ago
StaleOct 13, 25, 2:00 PMJun 2, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
99%
1%
Rules
If Katie Porter drops out of 2026 California gubernatorial election before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running.
- Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race.
- Death or incapacitation resolves to No, not Yes.
- Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out.
- Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race.
