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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Maine Senate winner?
Maine Senate winner?

Maine Senate winner?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection1y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Graham Platner
Graham Platner 57%-2.0%
Market quality

79 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$504.6

Liquidity

$10.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

57.0% / 58.0%

Spread

1.8%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Graham Platner57%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Maine Senate Election Winner

Maine Senate Election Winner

0.5%4mo
Democrat
Democrat
+0.5%65%
Republican
Republican
-1.5%35%
Person A
Person A
0%

+10 more outcomes

89 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$481K
24h Vol$29.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Note: If Graham Platner drops out, and a representative of the Democratic party wins the Maine Senate general election, then the market subtitled "Democratic party" will resolve to Yes.
  • If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Note: If Graham Platner drops out, and a representative of the Democratic party wins the Maine Senate general election, then the market subtitled "Democratic party" will resolve to Yes.
  • If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.