KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability2 2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$54.7K
Liquidity
$281.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:00 PMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
22%
Volume trend
$54.7kJul 211d of dataJul 12
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If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
- A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Jul 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
- If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Jul 2026, that will count as a visit.
- If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.