PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Troy Jackson (D) 71.7%-2.0pt
Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$49.2K
Liquidity
$254.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
59
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:29 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate Exact Outcome
KalshiWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsMaine Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketWhich Party will win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Maine Senate Election Winner · Democrat 67%
- Also available on Kalshi — Maine Senate winner? · Troy Jackson 68%
- Also available on Futuur — Maine's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 65%
- Also available on Gemini — Maine US Senate Winner · Troy Jackson 68%
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- Jon Ossoff17.5%
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $608.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
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- $12.3M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Maine Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Troy Jackson (D) at 72% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Maine Senate Election Winner resolve?
- Maine Senate Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Maine Senate Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Where else is Maine Senate Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Kalshi, Futuur, Gemini.