PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democrat 67%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$121.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 10:29 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Democrat67%
Compare venues· Democrat
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Futuur
Maine's Senate election winner
3mo
66%
35%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$81.8
24h Vol$0
FUTUUR
Also available on Kalshi
Maine Senate winner?
2.0%1y
-1.0%63%
+2.0%39%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$15.8K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.5k36.0%KALSHIRepublican party — Yes3d ago
KALSHIRepublican party — Yes3d ago$1.8k36.0%KALSHIRepublican party — Yes4d ago
KALSHIRepublican party — Yes4d ago$1.9k36.0%KALSHIRepublican party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIRepublican party — Yes5d ago$1.3k65.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago$1.3k65.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago$1.6k65.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago$1.3k65.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago$1.9k65.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d ago
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes5d agoVolume trend
$2.0kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.