PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
<600K 38%-6.5ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$475.2
Low liquiditySpread
64.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:15 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketMississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketGeorgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket prices <600K at 38% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) resolve?
- Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.