PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
290K-305K 33%+24.5ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$14.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:09 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketGeorgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket prices 290K-305K at 33% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) resolve?
- Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.