Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
1.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-Off2026 US MidtermsElectionUS Politics6d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast700K-750K 53.6%-1.4ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+42.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 24, 26, 5:34 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
