PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
<3.6M 37%-4.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:20 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWho will be the Republican nominee for Georgia senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Brian Kemp run for the Georgia U.S. Senate Seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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+16 more outcomes
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- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket prices <3.6M at 37% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) resolve?
- Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.