KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic party 73.3%+1.0pt
Democratic party 73.3%+1.0ptMarket quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13K
Open interest
$1.4M
High open interestBid / Ask
27.0% / 28.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)
KalshiAlaska Senate winner? (Person)
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiAlaska Senate General Election: voter turnout
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiAlaska Senate Election Winner
PolymarketRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic party
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican party
- If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
3 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Democratic party is 72%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic party 72% · 3 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Alaska Senate Election Winner · Mary Peltola 73%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Alaska Senate Race · Democrat 72%
- Also available on Smarkets — Alaska Senate Election Winner · Democrat 69%
- Also available on Kalshi — Alaska Senate winner? (Person) · Mary Peltola 73%