PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mary Peltola 59.4%+2.5ptLeader of 29 outcomes
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$99K
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 42.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 8:48 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mary Peltola60%
Compare venues· Mary Peltola
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 60% | 0pt | $1.7K | $99K | 16 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi82% match · verified | Medium | 61% | +1pt | $1K | $69.7K | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
1.0 pts1y
+4.0pt57%
-1.0pt41.1%
1.9%
+3 more outcomes
68 • Medium qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$116.9K
24h Vol$1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S.
- Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.