Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.6%
Forecasters
106
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 7:02 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiAlaska Senate election: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Dan Sullivan wins the general election and is elected to represent Alaska in the U.S. Senate.
- The market resolves NO if any other candidate wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/candidates/).
- Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, has declared his re-election bid.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? resolve?
- Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria
- Where else is Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on PredictIt, ForecastEx.