Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Impostor Dan Sullivan finish third in the Alaska Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Dan S. Sullivan win the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Dan Sullivan wins the general election and is elected to represent Alaska in the U.S. Senate.
- The market resolves NO if any other candidate wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/candidates/).
- Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, has declared his re-election bid.
