Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 64%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 1, 26, 4:22 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiAlaska Senate Election Winner
PolymarketAlaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Dan Sullivan wins the general election and is elected to represent Alaska in the U.S. Senate.
- The market resolves NO if any other candidate wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/candidates/).
- Sullivan, having been re-elected in 2020 with 53.9% of the vote, has declared his re-election bid.