Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection11d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$20.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 3:00 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska general election for US Senate in 2026?
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PolymarketWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dan Sullivan (R)'s hourly odds value is higher than Mary Peltola (D)'s hourly odds value in the "Alaska Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Dan Sullivan (R) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
