Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?
0.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection9d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 74.3%
No 74.3%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$23.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 2:56 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Roger Marshall win the Kansas senate election by 11% or more?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Hamilton (D)'s hourly odds value is higher than Roger Marshall (R)'s hourly odds value in the "Kansas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Adam Hamilton (D) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
