PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
None · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
None 25%Leader of 128 outcomes
None 25%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11M
Liquidity
$148.8M
High liquidityOpen interest
$2.2M
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoneSpread
—
Comments
5
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 26, 26, 10:21 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · None
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats win all 7 ‘swing states’ in the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsSwing states of the future: Which states will be within 5 points in the 2040 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsLean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?
KalshiWhich states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
- Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins.
- An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market.
- A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027.
- A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.