How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS Politics5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 52 21.5%+2.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$23K
Liquidity
$1.7M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Dec 20, 25, 4:00 PMFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the Democratic Party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms??
- Kalshi prices Above 52 at 22% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? resolve?
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.