How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
20.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 211 · —
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Stored price
Above 238 43%Market line of 16 lines
Above 238 43%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$886
Open interest
$14.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 211Spread
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Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 9:17 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Market depth · Above 211
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party has above 238 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 211
- If the Democratic party has above 211 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 214
- If the Democratic party has above 214 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 217
- If the Democratic party has above 217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220
- If the Democratic party has above 220 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 223
- If the Democratic party has above 223 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 226
- If the Democratic party has above 226 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 229
- If the Democratic party has above 229 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 232
- If the Democratic party has above 232 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 235
- If the Democratic party has above 235 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 238
- If the Democratic party has above 238 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 241
- If the Democratic party has above 241 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 244
- If the Democratic party has above 244 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 247
- If the Democratic party has above 247 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 250
- If the Democratic party has above 250 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 253
- If the Democratic party has above 253 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 256
- If the Democratic party has above 256 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
