How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics2026 US Midterms6d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least 44 97.7%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 26, 8:03 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRules
This is a duplicate of this market but modified to be cumulative-set instead of single-answer: https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/how-many-seats-will-the-democrats-h
- Resolution will be based on how that market is resolved.
- This is the description of that market at the time of market creation: "I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
