How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
One-OffPoliticsElectionUS Politics1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least 44 97.9%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 26, 8:03 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This is a duplicate of this market but modified to be cumulative-set instead of single-answer: https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/how-many-seats-will-the-democrats-h
- Resolution will be based on how that market is resolved.
- This is the description of that market at the time of market creation: "I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??
- Manifold Markets prices At least 44 at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? resolve?
- How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is a duplicate of this market but modified to be cumulative-set instead of single-answer: https://manifold.markets/Panfilo/how-many-seats-will-the-democrats-h