KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 21, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 1% 0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percent
KalshiTX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent
KalshiVA-02 House election: Jen Kiggans vote percent
KalshiAlaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiNC-11 House election: Jamie Ager vote percent
KalshiCA-43 House election: Maxine Waters vote percent
KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Alaska Division of Elections
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.4M
- 24h Vol
- $814.6K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $671.2K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.6pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $34M
- 24h Vol
- $468.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1M
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-2.0pt19%
- October13%
- September 30,-0.8pt4%
- Total Vol
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)?
- Kalshi prices At least 1% at 0% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round) resolve?
- Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round) is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.