Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 1% · —
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Stored price
At least 1.5% 49.5%Market line of 10 lines
At least 1.5% 49.5%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$20.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1%Spread
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Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1%
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Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1.5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Alaska Division of Elections
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. The percentage is based on the first round of voting.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.5%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1.5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2.5%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 2.5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 6% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
