KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Labour · —
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Stored price
Labour 57%Leader of 7 outcomes
Labour 57%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$21.4
Open interest
$3.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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LabourSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Labour
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsLargest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
If the Labour party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the New Zealand Electoral Commission
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Labour
- If the Labour party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- National
- If the National party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Te Pāti Māori
- If the Te Pāti Māori party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ACT
- If the ACT party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Green
- If the Green party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- NZ First
- If the NZ First party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Opportunity
- If the Opportunity party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — New Zealand legislative election winner? · Labour Party 53%
