PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Labour Party 58.4%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$101.3
Liquidity
$45.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
40.0% / 43.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
+11.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Apr 29, 26, 11:44 PMNov 7, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Labour Party59%
Compare venues· Te Pāti Māori
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Medium | 0% | 0pt | $101.3 | $45.9K | 15 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi85% match · verified | Low | 6% | +6pt | $0 | $3.7K | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
New Zealand general election winner?
1y
55.9%
38.7%
5.4%
+3 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.5K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$101Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes.
- In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.