What are the current odds for Winner of Israel's legislative election?

Futuur prices Yashar at 68% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Winner of Israel's legislative election resolve?

Winner of Israel's legislative election is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.

Where else is Winner of Israel's legislative election listed?

The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Limitless, Kalshi, Manifold Markets.

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Winner of Israel's legislative election

Corporate ActionsOne-OffPolitics Election Middle East1d

FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution data

Current implied probability

Yashar 68%

Leader of 3 outcomes

Market quality

30 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

$4.3K

Medium liquidity

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Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

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Rules

This event predicts which political party or coalition will win the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the October 27, 2026 legislative election.

Each market below corresponds to one listed party; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
The Primary Designated Source is the official results published by Israel's Central Election Committee (Va'adat HaBehirot HaMerkazit), supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
Tiebreaker rules: in the event of a tie for most seats, the market resolves in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes; if that produces a further tie, the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order wins.
If Likud, Together, or Yashar (or any successor party created through a merger) merges with or contests the election jointly with any other party, the Likud, Together, or Yashar market represents the resultant candidate list.
Otherwise, if a listed party merges with one or more unlisted parties, the listed party's market represents the merged list; if two listed parties merge, the market of the party with more prior Knesset seats represents the merged list, with alphabetical order as final tiebreaker.