KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yashar 42%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$43K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Apr 13, 26, 6:00 PMOct 27, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference Likud 53% · 4 venues · 14 pt band
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israeli legislative election winner??
- Kalshi prices Yashar at 42% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Israeli legislative election winner? resolve?
- Israeli legislative election winner? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2027.
- How is Israeli legislative election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Israeli legislative election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur.