KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yashar 48.1%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Yashar 48.1%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$121.6
Open interest
$48.2K
High open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 15, 25, 2:00 PM UTCOct 27, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
KalshiIsraeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
KalshiIsraeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketWill the date for the next Israeli legislative election be postponed?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yashar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Elections Committee
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Yashar
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yashar, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Likud
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Likud, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Together
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Together, then the market resolves to Yes.
- National Unity
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is National Unity, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bennett 2026
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Bennett 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yesh Atid
- If the winner of the next Israeli legislative election is Yesh Atid, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 51%
- Also available on Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 49%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Yashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 47%
- Also available on Futuur — Winner of Israel's legislative election · Likud 50%