KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDonald Trump 8%+1.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Donald Trump8%
Also available on Polymarket
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
4mo
-0.7%10%
8%
8%
+68 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$20M
24h Vol$68.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Francesca Albanese wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Narges Mohammadi wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If European Union wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elon Musk wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Francesca Albanese wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Narges Mohammadi wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If European Union wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Elon Musk wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.