KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityVolodymyr Zelenskyy 6%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$428.2
Liquidity
$301.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Volodymyr Zelenskyy6%
Compare venues· Yulia Navalnaya
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall75% match · verified | High | 11% | +4pt | $15.8K | $2.4M | 16 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Medium | 7% | 0pt | $428.2 | $301.3K | 16 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
2mo
11%
-1.6%7%
+0.1%7%
+68 more outcomes
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$22.9M
24h Vol$15.8K
POLYMARKETRules
If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation.
- Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
- If Francesca Albanese wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Narges Mohammadi wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$9.5k95.0%POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — Novtat10d ago
POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — Novtat10d ago$12.9k96.0%POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — NoEnd12316d ago
POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — NoEnd12316d ago$1.3k95.0%POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — NoJesusReturns202619d ago
POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — NoJesusReturns202619d ago$36.9k93.0%POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — Nobeeply21d ago
POLYMARKETWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? — Nobeeply21d agoVolume trend
$428Jul 324d of dataJul 26
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If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation.
- Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
- If Francesca Albanese wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Narges Mohammadi wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.