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2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

US PoliticsOne-OffPolitics Geopolitics

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This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 9:38 AM

Awaiting verified resolution

CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 9:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current implied probability

-

Market quality

≤49 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$1.8M

Open interest

$4.2M

High open interest

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale

Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 9:08 AM UTC

Trends

International Criminal Court

Awaiting result

Before close: 3% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:08 AM

Donald Trump

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 3, 2026, 2:55 PM

Yulia Navalnaya

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:01 AM

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:02 AM

International Court of Justice (ICJ)

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:02 AM

Pope Leo XIV

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:02 AM

Minneapolis

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 8:31 AM

Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:01 AM

International Space Station / ISS partnership

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 8:41 AM

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:04 AM

Save the Children

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:01 AM

World Central Kitchen / José Andrés

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:04 AM

Daria Egereva

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 8:03 AM

Committee to Protect Journalists

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:02 AM

Ilham Tohti

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:04 AM

Aaja Chemnitz

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 7:23 AM

UNRWA

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 9:02 AM

António Guterres

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 7:21 AM

Francesca Albanese

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 9, 2026, 5:59 AM

Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue

Awaiting result

Before close: 1% · Oct 6, 2026, 5:10 AM

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Rules

This outcome's exact rule is not available.

Settles via:Nobel Foundation

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

Rules for each outcome

International Criminal Court: If International Criminal Court wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Donald Trump: If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Yulia Navalnaya: If Yulia Navalnaya wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms: If Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Court of Justice (ICJ): If International Court of Justice (ICJ) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pope Leo XIV: If Pope Leo XIV wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Minneapolis: If Minneapolis wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine: If Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Space Station / ISS partnership: If International Space Station / ISS partnership wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya: If Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Save the Children: If Save the Children wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
World Central Kitchen / José Andrés: If World Central Kitchen / José Andrés wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Daria Egereva: If Daria Egereva wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Committee to Protect Journalists: If Committee to Protect Journalists wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ilham Tohti: If Ilham Tohti wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Aaja Chemnitz: If Aaja Chemnitz wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
UNRWA: If UNRWA wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
António Guterres: If António Guterres wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Francesca Albanese: If Francesca Albanese wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue: If Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Doctors Without Borders: If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
UNHCR: If UNHCR wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Jimmy Lai: If Jimmy Lai wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Elon Musk: If Elon Musk wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vanessa Nakate: If Vanessa Nakate wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy: If Volodymyr Zelenskyy wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Narges Mohammadi: If Narges Mohammadi wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
European Union: If European Union wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Dario Amodei: If Dario Amodei wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sam Altman: If Sam Altman wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani: If Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mark Carney: If Mark Carney wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Greta Thunberg: If Greta Thunberg wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Shehbaz Sharif: If Shehbaz Sharif wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sara Al-Saqqa: If Sara Al-Saqqa wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Concordis International: If Concordis International wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Julian Assange: If Julian Assange wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Yad Vashem: If Yad Vashem wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
David Attenborough: If David Attenborough wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Hussam Abu Safiya: If Hussam Abu Safiya wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Peace Research Association (IPRA): If International Peace Research Association (IPRA) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
World Trade Organization: If World Trade Organization wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Reporters Without Borders (RSF): If Reporters Without Borders (RSF) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Campaign to Stop Killer Robots: If Campaign to Stop Killer Robots wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Chow Hang-tung: If Chow Hang-tung wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Matt Meyer: If Matt Meyer wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC): If International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Association of Judges (IAJ): If International Association of Judges (IAJ) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Svalbard Global Seed Vault: If Svalbard Global Seed Vault wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Parents Circle – Families Forum: If Parents Circle – Families Forum wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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