Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastYes 9.2%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleApr 22, 23, 4:33 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Related Markets
Will the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
$1KYes: 86.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$1.2KYes: 11%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
$91.1Yes: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
$0Yes: 7%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETNarendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027?
$206.6Yes: 5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?
$0Amit Shah: 9.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
US strikes Iran as Polymarket odds peg Starmer exit before 2027 at 90.5%Blockchain.News
Katz warns force vs Iran as Polymarket puts Dec 2026 US-Iran deal at 43.5%Blockchain.News
Reports of US strikes in Iran push Polymarket regime-fall odds to 0.15%Blockchain.News
US strikes in Iran shift Polymarket travel bets, Trump down to 15%Blockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.