Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 96.9%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleFeb 19, 26, 7:41 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves “Yes" if India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, is out of power for any length of time between February 18 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be considered out of power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position before the year is over.