Modi out by December 31, 2026?
0.3 pt (24h)2mo
Yes4%+0.3pt
No96%-0.3pt
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$427.8K
24h Vol$2.9K
POLYMARKETSouth Asia
60 markets tracked all-time for South Asia, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
49
Total Volume
$1,971,611
24h Volume
$3,354
Liquidity + open interest
$315,548
POLYMARKET
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%-0.1pt
No95%+0.1pt
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$235.9K
24h Vol$361.1
POLYMARKET
Kathmandu Mayoral Election Winner
4.0 pt (24h)1y
RSP+4.0pt43%
Congress-2.5pt15%
Independent-1.5pt8%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (50)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4K
24h Vol$120
POLYMARKET
India strike on Pakistan by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)2mo
December-1.0pt9%+5 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Spread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1M
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes6%+0.1pt
No94%-0.1pt
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$21.9K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
How high will the Nifty 50 Index get in 2026?
2mo
At least ₹29,00010%At least ₹25,0008%At least ₹28,0008%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow open interestThin market
Total Vol$4.6K
24h Vol—
KALSHI
Drop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
2mo
Yes8%
No92%
Low quality (32)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$112.8
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Hibatullah Akhundzada still Taliban’s Supreme Commander through the end of 2026?
2mo
Yes91%
No9%
Low quality (32)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$46.9
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Will India become more authoritarian in 2026?
5mo
Yes50%
No50%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Narendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027?
2mo
Yes3.1%
No96.9%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Narendra Modi stop being the Prime Minister of India before his death?
1y
Yes81.4%
No18.6%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rahul Gandhi be the PM of India In the next 10 years ?
7y
Yes22%
No78%
Community forecast14 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast1 forecastersType: multiple choice
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSTarique Rahman out as Bangladesh’s Prime minister before 2027?
2mo
Yes6.4%
No93.6%
Community forecast2 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Imran Khan be ever allowed to come back into power?
4y
Yes41%
No59%
Community forecast1 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Amit Shah become the PM of India before 2035?
8y
Yes30.1%
No69.9%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India be renamed to Bharat before 2028?
1y
Yes9.4%
No90.6%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
51 minutes agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Narendra Modi ever be the President of India?
16y
Yes28.1%
No71.9%
Community forecast4 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Taliban control Afghanistan in 2035?
9y
Yes69.2%
No30.8%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India control either mountain K2 or Nanga Parbat before Jan 1 2027
2mo
Yes5.5%
No94.5%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Yogi Adityanath become PM of India before 2035?
8y
Yes46.7%
No53.3%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India have another partition? (i.e. by 2029, 2 or more states secede)
2y
Yes15.5%
No84.5%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India be the superpower till 2035?
8y
Yes44.5%
No55.5%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill BJP remain the ruling party in India for the rest of this decade?
4y
Yes79.7%
No20.3%
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Taliban's opium ban last for five more years?
1y
Yes51.1%
No48.9%
Community forecast9 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
3y
Yes62.6%
No37.4%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSA Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032
6y
Yes6.7%
No93.3%
Community forecast18 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Pakistan rename itself India within ten years if India renames itself Bharat?
6y
Yes11.2%
No88.8%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
3y
Yes57.4%
No42.6%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
13 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Third Modi Government fall?
2y
Yes10.9%
No89.1%
Community forecast25 forecastersType: binary
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
3y
Yes83.6%
No16.4%
Community forecast41 forecastersType: binary
4 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Taliban still be in power in Afghanistan five years from now? (March 2024-2029)
2y
Yes76.6%
No23.4%
Community forecast16 forecastersType: binary
11 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAfter Modi retires or loses, who will be the next Prime Minister of India?
3y
Community forecast9 forecastersType: multiple choice
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Tarek Rahman will loose on his own seat in upcoming Bangladesh National election
2y
Yes8%
No92%
Community forecast2 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India?
2y
Yes42.8%
No57.2%
Community forecast55 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Pakistan still exist as a united country in 2035?
8y
Yes44%
No56%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
6 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo by June 30, 2027?
8mo
Yes45%
No55%
Community forecastType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India be renamed to Bharat before 2029?
2y
Yes11.7%
No88.3%
Community forecast13 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India be renamed to Bharat before 2027?
2mo
Yes5.6%
No94.4%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Sheikh Hasina end her exile and return to Bangladesh in 2026?
2mo
Yes1.1%
No98.9%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win Uttar Pradesh State Elections held in Jan - March 2027?
5mo
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast2 forecastersType: multiple choice
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill India extradite Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh by EoY 2026?
2mo
Yes13%
No87%
Community forecast15 forecastersType: binary
10 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will World Bank classify India as Upper-Middle Income?
+2 more outcomes
Community forecast5 forecastersType: multiple choice
13 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSNepalese monarchy restored before 2040?
13y
Yes32.6%
No67.4%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
6 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the UK return the Kohinoor Diamond to India before 2030?
3y
Yes13.6%
No86.4%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
4y
Yes17%
No83%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
3y
Yes63.5%
No36.5%
Community forecast26 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be Indian Minister of Education on January 1st 2027?
2mo
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS