Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55%
Forecasters
0
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 4:19 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves YES if KIA-led forces have captured Bhamo, Kachin State's second largest city, by June 30, 2027.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- MOC-21 captured or surrendered
- Bhamo Airport under KIA control
- No organized junta battalion resistance in city
- KIA administering civilian affairs