PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 96%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$19.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 3.9%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 6:39 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kim Jong-Un still Supreme Leader of North Korea through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump to Meet Kim Jong-Un in 2026?
FutuurKim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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- September 30+3.0pt80%
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+2 more outcomes
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- Yes4%
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+20 more outcomes
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- UNRWA+1.9pt9%
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+17 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).