PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 39%+5.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
December 31 39%+5.0ptMarket quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$38.3K
Liquidity
$185.1K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
14
7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:59 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
August 15Lost
August 31Lost
September 15Lost
Before close: 0% ·
September 30Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
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PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.