PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 30 18%+2.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$31.4K
Liquidity
$139.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
7
7d Change
-10.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 4, 26, 2:59 AMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
