PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No change 63.4%+4.5ptLeader of 5 outcomes
No change 63.4%+4.5ptMarket quality
87 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$20.8K
Liquidity
$548.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+16.0 pts
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Jul 30, 26, 12:48 AM UTCJan 28, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Fed decision in January · No change 61%
- Also available on Kalshi — Fed decision in Jan 2027? · Fed maintains rate 61%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027) · H 0 63%
