Selected book midpoint
Hike–Pause–Hike · —
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Stored reference
Hike–Pause–Hike 68%Leader of 9 outcomes
Hike–Pause–Hike 68%Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$238.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$88K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Hike–Pause–HikeSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 8:24 PM UTCDec 9, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Pause–Hike–HikeLost
Pause–Hike–PauseLost
Pause–Pause–HikeLost
Pause–Pause–PauseLost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Hike–Pause–Hike
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
