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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

0.1% (24h)FedOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
4.0%
4.0% 34%-0.8%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$5.1K

Liquidity

$168.4K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.9% / 4.1%

Spread

5.1%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+0.3%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Jan 12, 26, 5:47 PMDec 9, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

4.0%34%

Rules

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
  • This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued.
  • If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
  • The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,120.22+0.65%EthereumETH$1,639.35+0.07%SolanaSOL$64.16-1.36%

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Active in these topics

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Related News

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Rules

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
  • This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued.
  • If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
  • The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market.