KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before July 2028 92%-3.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.6K
Liquidity
$9.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 8:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
LimitlessFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Fed rate hike??
- Kalshi prices Before July 2028 at 92% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Next Fed rate hike? resolve?
- Next Fed rate hike? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Next Fed rate hike? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
