Current implied probability
Pause-Hike-Pause 33%+18.5ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Pause-Hike-Pause 33%+18.5ptMarket quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$32.1K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 1:04 PM UTCJan 27, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
