KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityHike >25bps 2%+1.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$237.7
Liquidity
$16K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
250.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 29, 25, 2:00 PMDec 9, 26, 6:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Hike >25bps2%
Volume trend
$238Jul 416d of dataJul 21
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHIActive in these topics
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If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.