PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
5.40% 63%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$135.2
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 1:05 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Limitless10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
