PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No change 69.2%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.2K
Liquidity
$1.5M
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 11:34 PMOct 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Prediction Source Comparison
CoinRithm reference No change 72% · 2 venues · 1 pt band
- Also available on Limitless — Fed Decision in October? · No change 70%
- Also available on Kalshi — Fed decision in Oct 2026? · Fed maintains rate 72%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026) · H 0 64%
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Fed Decision in October??
- Polymarket prices No change at 69% as of August 22, 2026.
- When does Fed Decision in October? resolve?
- Fed Decision in October? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.
- How is Fed Decision in October? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- Where else is Fed Decision in October? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera).
