PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
July 80%Leader of 13 outcomes
July 80%Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$197.9K
High liquiditySpread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
31
7d Change
+1.3 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 16, 25, 7:36 PM UTCJan 29, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
April MeetingLost
Before close: 0% ·
January MeetingLost
July MeetingLost
Before close: 0% ·
June MeetingLost
Before close: 0% ·
March MeetingLost
September 2026Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If no the named outcome takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
- Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Fed rate cut by __? · June Meeting 35%
