LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
June Meeting 35.1%Leader of 5 outcomes
June Meeting 35.1%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
May 27, 26, 11:36 AM UTCOct 28, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
KalshiFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PolymarketECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no the named outcome takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
