KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%-4.4%
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$201.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.5% / 9.5%
Spread
46.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$11.6kJul 27d of dataJul 8
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
- The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.