Selected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 69.3%
Yes 69.3%Market quality
84 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$20.4K
Liquidity
$210K
High liquidityOpen interest
$503.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 6:24 PM UTCDec 10, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Yes
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiBank of England rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 70%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference 70% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread