Current implied probability
Yes 83.2%+4.0pt
Market quality
85 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$36.1K
Liquidity
$200.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 6:24 PM UTCDec 9, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 84%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 84% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 83% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Another Fed rate hike in 2026? resolve?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 9, 2026.
- How is Another Fed rate hike in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Where else is Another Fed rate hike in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.
