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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

FedOne-OffBonds & Treasuries6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
2.6-2.8%
2.6-2.8% 51%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$288.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 98.0%

Spread

2350.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Jun 10, 26, 9:18 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

2.6-2.8%51%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

Polymarket
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm).
  • The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
  • The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date.
  • The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,706.14+2.55%EthereumETH$1,651.68+1.95%SolanaSOL$65.19+1.82%

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Rules

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.

Polymarket
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm).
  • The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
  • The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date.
  • The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026.