KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Exactly 0 cuts 91.1%+1.3ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$49.8K
Liquidity
$5.8M
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Sep 29, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
KalshiNumber of FOMC meetings with FED interest rate cuts in the US in 2026
FutuurWill there be exactly 3 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExWill there be exactly 4 rate cuts in 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.7M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt50.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42.6%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $632.2K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.5pt2%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%99%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $29.5K
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Number of rate cuts in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Exactly 0 cuts at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Number of rate cuts in 2026? resolve?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Number of rate cuts in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Number of rate cuts in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Polymarket.