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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

1.3% (24h)FedOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 0 cuts 77%-1.3%
Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$199.5

Liquidity

$27.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

71.0% / 76.6%

Spread

7.9%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Sep 29, 25, 2:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Exactly 5 cuts
Exactly 5 cuts
0%

Selected outcome

Exactly 0 cuts77%

Rules

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

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0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

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Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

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Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

$10.8K
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

$831.9
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

$577
Fed maintains rate: 93%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%

Related News

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Rules

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.