KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityExactly 4 cuts 50%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 11:00 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Exactly 2 cuts1%
Volume trend
$10Jul 413d of dataJul 26
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If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026.
- Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease.
- For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut.
- Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026.
- As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026.