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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Exactly 5 cuts · —
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Stored price
Exactly 5 cuts 70%Leader of 4 outcomes
Exactly 5 cuts 70%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$26.6K
Open interest
$48.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Exactly 5 cutsSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 2, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Exactly 4 cutsLost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Exactly 5 cuts
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the number of discrete decreases in the Brazil interest rate value during calendar year 2026. Each separate decrease counts as one rate cut, regardless of the size of the decrease. For example, a decrease from 14.75% to 14.50% counts as one rate cut, and a decrease from 14.50% to 14.25% would count as another rate cut. Rate cuts before market issuance count, provided they occurred during calendar year 2026. As of issuance, Brazil has already had 2 qualifying 2026 rate cuts: the Selic target was reduced to 14.75% in March 2026 and to 14.50% in April 2026. Rate hikes do not offset prior rate cuts. If the Brazil interest rate is cut, then later hiked, then later cut again, the two cuts count separately.
Rules for each outcome
- Exactly 5 cuts
- If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 6 cuts
- If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 6, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7 or more cuts
- If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is at least 7 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4 cuts
- If the total number of Central Bank of Brazil rate cuts for 2026 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes.
