Central Banks

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

0.3 pt (24h)8d

25 bps increase

-0.3pt97%

No change

+0.3pt2%

50+ bps increase

+0.2pt1%

+2 more outcomes

CoinRithm reference25 bps increase97%· 0 pt venue spread

High quality (84)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$705.5K

24h Vol$19.2K

POLYMARKET

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

0.1 pt (24h)15h

25 bps increase

+0.1pt100%

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

+2 more outcomes

CoinRithm reference25 bps increase100%· 1 pt venue spread

High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$517.6K

24h Vol$25.6K

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

Hike 25bps

95.1%

Maintain current rate

Hike more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (59)Spread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$187.2K

24h Vol$18.5K

KALSHI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

10.0 pt (24h)1mo

No change

-9.5pt81%

25 bps increase

+10.0pt19%

50+ bps decrease

+2 more outcomes

High quality (76)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$84.6K

24h Vol$27.4K

POLYMARKET

European Central Bank rate decision in September

16h

Hike 1-25bps

95.2%

Maintain current rate

1.9%

Hike more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (55)Spread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$92.3K

24h Vol$9.7K

KALSHI

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

11.0 pt (24h)7d

Maintain current rate

+11.0pt92.5%

Hike 25bps

-31.0pt1.9%

Cut 50bps

1.9%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (73)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$51.4K

24h Vol$9.8K

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

16.7 pt (24h)20d

25 bps increase

+16.7pt81.6%

No change

-17.6pt18.4%

50+ bps decrease

-0.4pt0%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$65.8K

24h Vol$6.9K

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in November?

23.5 pt (24h)1mo

25 bps increase

+23.5pt52.1%

No change

-37.5pt37.5%

50+ bps increase

+9.3pt10.4%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (69)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$48K

24h Vol$6.3K

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

2.0 pt (24h)1mo

No change

-0.5pt88.1%

25 bps increase

+2.0pt11.9%

50+ bps decrease

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$31.2K

24h Vol$7.4K

POLYMARKET

Bank of England decision in September?

0.3 pt (24h)8d

No change

-0.3pt97%

25 bps increase

+0.2pt3%

50+ bps decrease

+2 more outcomes

High quality (75)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$254.5K

24h Vol$2.8K

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

1.0 pt (24h)1mo

H 0

+1.0pt63.3%

H 25

25.7%

C 25

5.5%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (56)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

24h Vol$7.1K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Norway rate decision in September

14d

Hike more than 25bps

Cut 1-25bps

Cut more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.6K

24h Vol$6.6K

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

5.1 pt (24h)1mo

No Change

-5.1pt87.5%

25 bps increase

+2.3pt12.5%

50+ bps increase

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$59.2K

24h Vol$3.7K

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

1mo

No change

-0.5pt82.8%

25 bps increase

17.2%

50+ bps decrease

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (71)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$78.4K

24h Vol$2.1K

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

9.5 pt (24h)3mo

Yes

+9.5pt65%

-9.5pt35%

Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$52.6K

24h Vol$1K

POLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

3mo

25 bps increase

62.9%

No change

27.8%

25 bps decrease

5.2%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$3.4K

24h Vol$3.4K

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

1mo

Maintains rate

-5.0pt83.5%

Hike 25bps

13.6%

Cut >25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (50)Spread unknownHigh liquidity

Total Vol$93.6K

24h Vol$974.8

KALSHI

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

1.8 pt (24h)5d

25 bps decrease

-1.8pt96.9%

No Change

+1.3pt3.1%

50+ bps increase

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$135.8K

24h Vol$571.3

POLYMARKET

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

14d

Hike 1-25bps

13%

Cut more than 25bps

Cut 1-25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (60)Tight spreadLow liquidity

Total Vol$2.3K

24h Vol$2.3K

KALSHI

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

1.0 pt (24h)7d

Cut 25bps

-1.0pt94%

Hike 50bps

21%

Cut 50bps

11%

+4 more outcomes

Medium quality (56)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$53.9K

24h Vol$856.3

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

12.0 pt (24h)18d

Hike 1-25bps

+12.0pt76%

Maintain current rate

-13.0pt21%

Cut 1-25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (70)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$65.9K

24h Vol$669

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

2.5 pt (24h)1mo

No change

+2.5pt67.7%

25 bps increase

-0.6pt30.4%

50+ bps decrease

+0.1pt1%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$40.2K

24h Vol$973.6

POLYMARKET

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

10mo

H 0

78.3%

C 25

8.3%

H 25

-3.0pt6.2%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (53)Spread unknownHigh liquidity

24h Vol$1.8K

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

-1.0pt94.1%

Yes

+1.0pt5.9%

Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$32.4K

24h Vol$450.6

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in September

2.0 pt (24h)7d

Maintain current rate

93.1%

Hike 1-25bps

-2.0pt3.9%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (68)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$27.9K

24h Vol$508.4

KALSHI

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

5.5 pt (24h)3mo

-5.5pt64%

Yes

+5.5pt36%

Low quality (49)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$21.7K

24h Vol$509.4

POLYMARKET

Bank of Korea decision in October?

1mo

No Change

+1.0pt75%

25 bps hike

22.1%

50+ bps cut

+2 more outcomes

CoinRithm referenceNo Change78%· 1 pt venue spread

Medium quality (64)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$10.7K

24h Vol$280.7

POLYMARKET

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

3mo

Exactly 5 cuts

35%

7 or more cuts

-3.0pt34%

Exactly 6 cuts

28%

+3 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Spread unknownHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$96.8K

24h Vol$141.3

KALSHI

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

8.0 pt (24h)1mo

Cut more than 25bps

98%

Maintain current rate

79%

Hike 1-25bps

+8.0pt28%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (47)Moderate spreadLow liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$1.9K

24h Vol$301

KALSHI

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

3mo

25 bps increase

40%

No Change

39%

50+ bps increase

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (53)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$689.1

24h Vol$689.1

POLYMARKET

Hungary rate decision in September

8.0 pt (24h)12d

Maintain current rate

84.8%

Cut 25bps

+8.0pt9.1%

Hike 25bps

+4 more outcomes

Low quality (46)Spread unknownMedium liquidity

Total Vol$40.3K

24h Vol$200

KALSHI

Bank of Korea decision in November?

29.0 pt (24h)2mo

25 bps hike

+13.0pt57%

No Change

-29.0pt23%

25 bps cut

+8.9pt17%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (40)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$13.7K

24h Vol$243.4

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

2.0 pt (24h)3mo

Exactly 2.25%

+2.0pt56.8%

Exactly 2.50%

+1.0pt31.4%

Exactly 1.75%

4.2%

+5 more outcomes

Medium quality (53)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$13.9K

24h Vol$227.3

KALSHI

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

1.0 pt (24h)3mo

Exactly 0ㅤ

+1.0pt86.1%

Exactly 1ㅤ

+4.0pt10.2%

Exactly 2ㅤ

0.9%

+3 more outcomes

Medium quality (58)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$21.9K

24h Vol$120

KALSHI

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

5.0 pt (24h)1mo

Maintain current rate

+5.0pt82.5%

Hike 1-25bps

13.6%

Hike more than 25bps

1.9%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (54)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$4.1K

24h Vol$217

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in December

63.0 pt (24h)3mo

Maintain current rate

57%

Cut 1-25bps

31%

Hike 1-25bps

28%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (41)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$226.4

24h Vol$115

KALSHI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

4mo

3.1%+

83.5%

2.8-3.0%

-0.6pt8.3%

1.0–1.2%

3.1%

+6 more outcomes

Medium quality (69)Tight spreadHigh liquidity

Total Vol$112.4K

24h Vol$72.5

POLYMARKET

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

92%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$131.8K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

3mo

98%

Yes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$56.1K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

1mo

3.0–3.4%

34.7%

2.5–2.9%

24.5%

2.0–2.4%

16.3%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$43.9K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

2.0 pt (24h)3mo

+2.0pt63.4%

Yes

-2.0pt36.6%

Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$21.6K

24h Vol—

POLYMARKET

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

1mo

25 bps decrease

60.2%

No Change

35%

50+ bps decrease

-0.5pt4.8%

+2 more outcomes

Medium quality (60)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity

Total Vol$14.2K

24h Vol$10.2

POLYMARKET

Bank of England rate decision in December

8.0 pt (24h)3mo

Maintain current rate

-8.0pt30.3%

Hike 1-25bps

29.4%

Cut 1-25bps

25.7%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (40)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$4.2K

24h Vol$56.2

KALSHI

Bank of England rate decision in November

26.0 pt (24h)1mo

Maintain current rate

81%

Hike 1-25bps

+26.0pt44%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (31)Wide spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.2K

24h Vol$10

KALSHI

South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

3.0 pt (24h)13d

Increase

50.5%

No Change

-3.0pt41.3%

Decrease

+0.9pt8.3%

Low quality (29)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market

Total Vol$3.4K

24h Vol$40.5

POLYMARKET

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

1mo

Maintain current rate

77.5%

Hike 25bps

19.6%

Cut more than 25bps

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$6.1K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

1mo

Above 4.8%

93%

Above 5.2%

78%

Above 5.4%

64%

+5 more outcomes

Low quality (41)Wide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution

Total Vol$6K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

European Central Bank rate decision in October

1mo

Maintain current rate

81.1%

Hike 1-25bps

8.5%

Cut 1-25bps

5.7%

+2 more outcomes

Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidity

Total Vol$4.4K

24h Vol—

KALSHI

Related Crypto Assets

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

European Central Bank rate decision in September

Czech National Bank rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

Bank of England decision in November?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Bank of England decision in September?

Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)

Norway rate decision in September

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

Swiss National Bank rate decision in September

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Bank of England rate decision in September

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Bank of Korea decision in October?

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Bank of Korea rate decision in October

Bank of Canada Decision in December?

Hungary rate decision in September

Bank of Korea decision in November?

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October

European Central Bank rate decision in December

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Bank of England rate decision in December

Bank of England rate decision in November

South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

Bank of Japan rate decision in October

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q3 2026

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Markets people searched for