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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Central Banks

Central Banks

50 related markets tracked across sources for Central Banks.

Open Markets

45

Total Volume

$2,278,056

24h Volume

$202,219

Total Liquidity

$602,269

Open Markets

45

Total Volume

$2,278,056

24h Volume

$202,219

Total Liquidity

$602,269

Related Topics

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Topics

Crypto

Bitcoin579

Politics

Middle East374Geopolitics264Politics4134Election3211US Politics2336Latin America476

Macro

Fed114Commodities143Corporate Actions216

Sports

Sports6314Soccer3156Baseball686Esports433FIFA World Cup1008Tennis675Basketball415American Football303Motorsport92

Tech

Tech622

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Theme

Exchange548Stablecoin426

Entity

Binance414

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Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

0.4%4d
25
25
-0.4%98%
No change
No change
+0.4%2%
50+
50+
+0.1%1%

+1 more outcomes

100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$463K
24h Vol$54.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

12.5%1mo
No change
No change
-13.0%76%
25 bps Increase
25 bps Increase
+12.5%21%
50+ bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
1%

+2 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$50.7K
24h Vol$11.3K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

4d
No Change
No Change
-0.6%61%
Decrease
Decrease
39%
Increase
Increase
-0.1%0%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$264.7K
24h Vol$2.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

3.5%4d
No Change
No Change
+3.5%99%
Increase
Increase
-1.4%1%
Decrease
Decrease
-2.0%0%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$45.6K
24h Vol$761.2
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

2.0%1mo
No Change
No Change
+2.0%94%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-1.2%4%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
-0.6%3%

+2 more outcomes

91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$10.8K
24h Vol$844.3
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

6d
No change
No change
+0.1%98%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
1%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-0.3%1%

+2 more outcomes

56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$272.3K
24h Vol$102.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

0.3%1mo
No Change
No Change
+0.6%80%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
13%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
+0.1%6%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$11.5K
24h Vol$191.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

12.5%2mo
No change
No change
+2.0%57%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-12.5%35%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
5%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.2K
24h Vol$222.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Who will be the next England Test Captain

12mo
Manifold Markets
Bethell
18%
Manifold Markets
Brook
35.8%
Manifold Markets
Pope
6.3%

+1 more outcomes

Community forecast3 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$1.5K
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting?

6d
Manifold Markets
Yes
7.5%
Manifold Markets
No
92.5%
Community forecast12 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$2.8K
24h Vol$114.3
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Bank of Korea decision in July?

Bank of Korea decision in July?

5.5%1mo
Increase
Increase
+5.0%70%
No Change
No Change
-5.5%31%
Decrease
Decrease
-0.1%0%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$31.9K
24h Vol$3.8
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

1mo
No change
No change
90%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
-0.5%8%
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
+0.2%3%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$4K
24h Vol$70
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

3.0%18d
Increase
Increase
-3.0%90%
No change
No change
+7.5%16%
Decrease
Decrease
0%
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$6.8K
24h Vol$25
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

25d
Increase
Increase
80%
No Change
No Change
17%
Decrease
Decrease
-0.3%2%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$9K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

1mo
No change
No change
+5.0%78%
25 bps increase
25 bps increase
22%
50+ bps decrease
50+ bps decrease
1%

+2 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$4.5K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Korea decision in August?

Bank of Korea decision in August?

1.5%2mo
No Change
No Change
-1.5%49%
25 bps cut
25 bps cut
47%
25 bps hike
25 bps hike
-6.0%40%

+2 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
14%
No
No
87%
24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$28.2K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Ben Stokes give up the Test Captaincy

5y
Manifold Markets
August 2025
0.8%
Manifold Markets
November 2025
1.1%
Manifold Markets
January 2026
2.6%

+5 more outcomes

Community forecast8 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$1K
24h Vol$235
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

7.3%7mo
3.1%+
3.1%+
+0.1%59%
<1.0%
<1.0%
-11.1%34%
1.6–1.8%
1.6–1.8%
-9.9%29%

+6 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$13.3K
24h Vol$18.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
7.2%
Manifold Markets
No
92.8%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$3.5K
24h Vol$0
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

27.5%1mo
25 bps hike
25 bps hike
+27.5%60%
50+ bps hike
50+ bps hike
43%
50+ bps cut
50+ bps cut
-1.0%34%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$6.4
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?

0.5%1mo
2.5–2.9%
2.5–2.9%
+5.5%41%
3.0–3.4%
3.0–3.4%
+0.5%41%
<1.5%
<1.5%
+16.4%19%

+5 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.7K
24h Vol$1.5
PolymarketPOLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in June

European Central Bank rate decision in June

9h
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
1%
Hike 1-25bps
Hike 1-25bps
98%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
2%

+2 more outcomes

32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$663
24h Vol$45.8
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Japan rate decision in June

Bank of Japan rate decision in June

12.0%4d
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
-12.0%3%
Hike 25bps
Hike 25bps
+1.0%99%
Hike more than 25bps
Hike more than 25bps
-10.0%2%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$468.9
24h Vol$45.9
KalshiKALSHI
Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

6mo
Yes
Yes
2%
No
No
98%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$392.9
24h Vol$3.7
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Mexico rate decision in June

Bank of Mexico rate decision in June

14d
Hike 25bps
Hike 25bps
2%
Cut more than 50bps
Cut more than 50bps
1%
Cut 50bps
Cut 50bps
2%

+4 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$311.8
24h Vol$0.9
KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will the ECB raise interest rates at its June 11, 2026 meeting?

21h
Manifold Markets
Yes
85.1%
Manifold Markets
No
14.9%
Community forecast7 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$275.1
24h Vol$10
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in June

Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in June

6d
Hike 50bps
Hike 50bps
1%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
+11.0%66%
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps
-5.0%49%

+4 more outcomes

32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$263.5
24h Vol$1.5
KalshiKALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

1.0%6mo
Before Jan 2027
Before Jan 2027
-1.0%15%
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
2%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$212
24h Vol$0.2
KalshiKALSHI
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

6mo
Exactly 2 cuts
Exactly 2 cuts
34%
Exactly 3 cuts
Exactly 3 cuts
33%
Exactly 4 cuts
Exactly 4 cuts
25%

+3 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$156.8
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in June

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in June

2.0%5d
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
-2.0%95%
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
3%
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
6%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$110.6
24h Vol$2.6
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in June

Bank of England rate decision in June

3.0%7d
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
+3.0%94%
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
3%
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
3%

+2 more outcomes

44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$101.8
24h Vol$0.5
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Korea rate decision in July

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

1mo
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
1%
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
1%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
37%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$100.7
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?

6mo
Exactly 1ㅤ
Exactly 1ㅤ
8%
Exactly 0ㅤ
Exactly 0ㅤ
81%
Exactly 2ㅤ
Exactly 2ㅤ
5%

+3 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$34.8
24h Vol$1
KalshiKALSHI
US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026

US nominal GDP growth in Q2 2026

1mo
Above 0.5%
Above 0.5%
99%
Above 1.0%
Above 1.0%
97%
Above 1.5%
Above 1.5%
-10.0%49%

+2 more outcomes

40 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$25.7
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Canada decision in Jul 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Jul 2026?

76.0%1mo
Maintains rate
Maintains rate
+76.0%87%
Cut >25bps
Cut >25bps
1%
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps
20%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$26.5
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

South African Reserve Bank rate decision in July

1mo
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
1%
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
2%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
26%

+2 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$20.9
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Germany ZEW economic sentiment index for June 2026

Germany ZEW economic sentiment index for June 2026

5d
Above -32.5
Above -32.5
87%
Above -30.0
Above -30.0
82%
Above -27.5
Above -27.5
95%

+12 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$21.2
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

6mo
Exactly 1.50%
Exactly 1.50%
0%
Exactly 1.75%
Exactly 1.75%
0%
Exactly 2.00%
Exactly 2.00%
0%

+5 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$16.2
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

4mo
Cut >25bps
Cut >25bps
0%
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps
22%
Maintains rate
Maintains rate
58%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.9
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?

6mo
Cut >25bps
Cut >25bps
0%
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps
24%
Maintains rate
Maintains rate
59%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$13.6
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August

1mo
Cut more than 25bps
Cut more than 25bps
2%
Cut 1-25bps
Cut 1-25bps
1%
Maintain current rate
Maintain current rate
21%

+2 more outcomes

24 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.4
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026

7.0%1mo
Above 6.0%
Above 6.0%
-7.0%29%
Above 5.2%
Above 5.2%
91%
Above 5.4%
Above 5.4%
85%

+5 more outcomes

28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.4
24h Vol$0.1
KalshiKALSHI
Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?

Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?

2mo
Cut >25bps
Cut >25bps
0%
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps
0%
Maintains rate
Maintains rate
62%

+2 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.9
24h Vol$0
KalshiKALSHI
Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

Who will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?

Isabel Schnabel
Isabel Schnabel
98%
Joachim Nagel
Joachim Nagel
98%
Klaas Knot
Klaas Knot
10%

+1 more outcomes

Retail prediction exchange
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
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