Fed rate decision in October 2026
3.0 pt (24h)2d
+2 more outcomes
High quality (≤89)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
24h Vol$6.2M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Central Banks
290 markets tracked all-time for Central Banks, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
152
Total Volume
$17,545,698
24h Volume
$6,428,534
Liquidity + open interest
$7,061,087
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Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)15h
Hike 25bps+5.0pt87%Maintains rate-2.0pt17%Hike >25bps2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$610.4K
24h Vol$42.3K
50 minutes ago
KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
2.9 pt (24h)2h
25 bps increase+2.9pt85%No Change-2.0pt15%25 bps decrease0%+2 more outcomes
High quality (82)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$513.9K
24h Vol$41.5K
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
0.4 pt (24h)2d
No change+0.6pt97%25 bps increase-0.4pt2%50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%+2 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceNo change98%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (86)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$306.7K
24h Vol$30.4K
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
8.5 pt (24h)7d
25 bps increase-6.7pt60%No change+8.5pt40%25 bps decrease0%+2 more outcomes
High quality (77)Tight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$221.2K
24h Vol$8.8K
POLYMARKET
South Africa rate decision in November
7.0 pt (24h)22d
Maintain current rate+7.0pt53%Cut 1-25bps+7.0pt14%Hike 1-25bps-32.0pt12%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$76.4K
24h Vol$16.8K
KALSHI
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
4.0 pt (24h)7d
No Change+1.1pt66.3%25 bps decrease+4.0pt28.6%25 bps increase-0.3pt3.1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$109.9K
24h Vol$6.3K
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
13.0 pt (24h)3y
Michael Faulkender+13.0pt24%Marc Sumerlin+6.0pt20%Rebecca Patterson+4.0pt14%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$44.8K
24h Vol$12K
KALSHI
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
0.6 pt (24h)2d
No change+0.6pt99%25 bps increase-0.3pt1%25 bps decrease0%+2 more outcomes
CoinRithm referenceNo change99%· 1 pt venue spread
High quality (80)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$662.1K
24h Vol$2.7K
POLYMARKET
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
2.0 pt (24h)2mo
Exactly 5 cuts-5.0pt66%Exactly 6 cuts+8.0pt24%7 or more cuts+2.0pt10%+1 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$201K
24h Vol$1.2K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
2.8 pt (24h)1d
25 bps increase+2.8pt99%No change-2.5pt1%25 bps decrease0%+2 more outcomes
High quality (78)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$115.1K
24h Vol$2K
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan rate decision in October
1.0 pt (24h)2d
Maintain current rate+1.0pt98%Hike 25bps3%Cut more than 25bps1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$53.5K
24h Vol$3.6K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIECB Interest Rates: December 2026
18.0 pt (24h)1mo
25 bps increase-19.0pt59.4%No change+18.0pt36.6%50+ bps increase+0.5pt2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.5K
24h Vol$3.9K
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
6d
Hike 1-25bps61%Maintain current rate+8.0pt41%Cut more than 25bps1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Moderate spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$53.5K
24h Vol$2.5K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIBank of Brazil decision in December?
4.0 pt (24h)1mo
No Change-8.5pt44.3%25 bps decrease+4.0pt27.8%50+ bps increase12.4%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (69)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$47.6K
24h Vol$2K
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
6.0 pt (24h)1mo
No change-6.0pt62.8%25 bps increase+11.5pt31.4%50+ bps increase-0.5pt2.9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$21.1K
24h Vol$4.4K
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
10.0 pt (24h)1mo
25 bps increase+2.0pt54.8%No change+10.0pt35.6%25 bps decrease+2.6pt3.9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (56)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$46.8K
24h Vol$1.2K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in December?
1mo
25 bps increase74%No change23%25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (73)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$24.5K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October
7.0 pt (24h)3h
Hike 1-25bps+7.0pt99%Maintain current rate-4.0pt1%Cut 1-25bps1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Moderate spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$23.6K
24h Vol$2.4K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of England decision in December?
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
No change-1.0pt54.9%25 bps increase+1.5pt36.3%50+ bps increase-0.5pt4.9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$19.3K
24h Vol$1.7K
POLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in December
20.0 pt (24h)1mo
Hike 1-25bps-20.0pt59%Maintain current rate38%Cut more than 25bps1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$1.2K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
No Change+1.1pt85.4%25 bps increase-2.0pt13.5%25 bps decrease1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (58)Wide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$68.8K
24h Vol$825.5
POLYMARKETEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
1d
Maintain current rate98%Cut more than 25bps1%Cut 1-25bps1%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (64)Tight spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$67.6K
24h Vol$572.2
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October
26d
Above -0.3091%Above -0.2080%Above -0.1063%+4 more outcomes
Low quality (49)Tight spreadLow open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$1.5K
24h Vol$1.5K
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
1.3 pt (24h)2mo
Yes3%+1.3pt
No97%
Medium quality (62)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$64.5K
24h Vol$271.8
1 hour agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Colombia rate decision in October
3.0 pt (24h)2d
Hike 1-25bps+3.0pt50%Maintain current rate-5.0pt38%Cut more than 25bps3%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (38)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$38.3K
24h Vol$446
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Lisa Cook departure announced?
2mo
Before Jan 202932%Before Jul 202828%Before Jan 202823%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Tight spreadHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$61K
24h Vol$259.7
KALSHI
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
8.0 pt (24h)8d
Maintain current rate-8.0pt66%Cut 1-25bps+7.0pt32%Hike 1-25bps+2.0pt6%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (56)Tight spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$20.3K
24h Vol$854.6
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
19.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes41%-19.0pt
No59%+19.0pt
Medium quality (63)Tight spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$34.6K
24h Vol$361.9
POLYMARKET
Bank of England rate decision in December
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
Maintain current rate+2.0pt59%Hike 1-25bps32%Hike more than 25bps-3.0pt6%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (59)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16.2K
24h Vol$769.6
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
11.0 pt (24h)2mo
Exactly 2.50%+11.0pt61%Exactly 2.75%+4.0pt39%Exactly 1.75%5%+5 more outcomes
Low quality (43)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$26.1K
24h Vol$392.8
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Czech National Bank rate decision in November
8.0 pt (24h)8d
Hike 1-25bps+8.0pt97%Cut 1-25bps3%Maintain current rate-20.0pt2%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (46)Wide spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$11.4K
24h Vol$441.1
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in October
14h
Above -0.6299%Above -0.6099%Above -0.5899%+7 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$10.3K
24h Vol$403.7
KALSHI
Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
1.0 pt (24h)9h
Maintain current rate-1.0pt96%Cut more than 25bps+1.0pt3%Cut 1-25bps2%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (31)Spread unknownMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$5.7K
24h Vol$359.6
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIBank of England decision in November?
0.2 pt (24h)9d
25 bps increase-0.2pt97%No change+0.1pt3%25 bps decrease0%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (71)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$414.9K
24h Vol$101.3
POLYMARKET
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?
Before Jan 20, 2029
3.6 pt (24h)2y
Yes7%+3.6pt
No93%
Medium quality (56)Moderate spreadHigh open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$135.8K
24h Vol$163.1
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIFed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
1.0 pt (24h)9mo
+2 more outcomes
Low quality (46)Spread unknownHigh open interestHigh ambiguity
24h Vol$964
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Bank of Canada Decision in December?
2.0 pt (24h)1mo
No Change+2.0pt49.5%25 bps increase-1.0pt46.6%50+ bps increase-0.4pt1.9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$56.1K
24h Vol$132.8
POLYMARKET
Bank of Korea decision in November?
12.0 pt (24h)29d
25 bps hike+15.5pt85.3%No Change-12.0pt7.8%25 bps cut+0.3pt2.9%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (65)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$39.9K
24h Vol$172.3
POLYMARKETBank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)1mo
Maintains rate+1.0pt51%Hike 25bps-5.0pt48%Cut 25bps3%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (57)Tight spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$23.3K
24h Vol$228.9
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in December
3.0 pt (24h)1mo
Hike 25bps-3.0pt69%Maintain current rate24%Cut 25bps2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (54)Tight spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$5.2K
24h Vol$141
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
2mo
3.1%+81.4%2.8-3.0%+4.0pt9.8%1.0–1.2%+0.3pt2.9%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (67)Tight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$120.2K
24h Vol$59.5
POLYMARKET
Sweden rate decision in November
6.0 pt (24h)7d
Hike 1-25bps-6.0pt63%Maintain current rate29%Hike more than 25bps2%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (50)Moderate spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$34.7K
24h Vol$55
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes90%+0.5pt
No10%-0.5pt
Low quality (46)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$29.7K
24h Vol$63.2
POLYMARKET
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?
2mo
Exactly 0ㅤ94%Exactly 4ㅤ4%Exactly 1ㅤ3%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (55)Tight spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$31.4K
24h Vol$38.2
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHIBank of England rate hike in 2026?
0.2 pt (24h)2mo
Yes98%-0.2pt
No2%+0.2pt
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$61.5K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKETECB rate cut in 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%-0.5pt
No95%+0.5pt
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$36.7K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Hungary rate decision in November
20d
Maintain current rate88%Cut 1-25bps10%Hike 1-25bps5%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$32K
24h Vol—
50 minutes agoKALSHI
KALSHI