KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 95%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$96.7
Liquidity
$33K
High liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 21, 24, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes5%
Volume trend
$97Jul 224d of dataJul 27
Related Markets
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?
$0Yes: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
$0Cheryl Venable: 5.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
$51.45%+: 95%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
$250Yes: 6.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
ECB rate cut in 2026?
$77.7Yes: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
$242.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsRules
If a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill need not take effect before January 20, 2029 to be included in the Payout Criterion.