Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 99%
Yes 99%Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 26, 24, 5:41 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Pakistan implement the Federal Shariah Court's order to abolish the use of interest rates in the financial system within a period of five years?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸📉 Will the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its October 2026 meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRules
Any rate hike counts.
- If they cut rates, then hike later, this will still resolve YES
