KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -25,000 90%Leader of 13 outcomes
Above -25,000 90%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$3.6K
Medium open interestSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow many jobs added in September?
PolymarketWill the number of job openings exceed 7.6 million in September 2026? (Jobs) ()?
ForecastExWill the number of job openings exceed 7.4 million in September 2026? (Jobs) ()?
ForecastExWill the number of job openings exceed 6.6 million in September 2026? (Jobs) ()?
ForecastExRules
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:BLS
- The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Rules for each outcome
- Above -25,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 40000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 50000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 60000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 70000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 80000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 90000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 100000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 125,000
- If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 125000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.