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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. Jobs numbers in October 2026?
Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

EconomyFedMonthlyMacro & Economy4mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above -25,000
Above -25,000 79%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$10.8

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

77.0% / 87.0%

Spread

13.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Oct 13, 25, 2:00 PMNov 6, 26, 1:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above -25,00079%

Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

$25.3
Above -25,000: 96%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?

$2.4
Above 60,000: 72%KalshiKALSHI
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

$0.2
Above 50,000: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.2M
No change: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$267.7K
No change: 93%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

$55.3K
25: 98%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%

Related News

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Rules

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 10000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.